Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.091570 0.101704 0.112103 0.123546 0.135758 0.148374 0.162370
2025-01-19 0.073669 0.088757 0.105062 0.123868 0.144840 0.167391 0.193358
2025-01-26 0.066208 0.085361 0.106948 0.132778 0.162550 0.195509 0.234468
2025-02-02 0.056911 0.078337 0.103463 0.134555 0.171455 0.213336 0.263947
2025-02-09 0.050210 0.073366 0.101505 0.137351 0.180952 0.231467 0.293610
2025-02-16 0.043401 0.067358 0.097513 0.137016 0.186188 0.244245 0.316823
2025-02-23 0.040900 0.066548 0.099719 0.144094 0.200276 0.267522 0.352558
2025-03-02 0.038252 0.065184 0.100940 0.149727 0.212475 0.288524 0.385694
2025-03-09 0.033076 0.059730 0.096277 0.147346 0.214265 0.296558 0.402971
2025-03-16 0.028162 0.054111 0.090915 0.143612 0.213963 0.301730 0.416548
2025-03-23 0.026550 0.053266 0.092050 0.148494 0.224780 0.320843 0.447462
2025-03-30 0.024690 0.051835 0.092197 0.151922 0.233641 0.337506 0.475423
2025-04-06 0.022435 0.049691 0.091365 0.154205 0.241384 0.353334 0.503200
2025-04-13 0.019949 0.046921 0.089447 0.154890 0.247021 0.366614 0.528070
2025-04-20 0.020012 0.048560 0.094283 0.165367 0.266170 0.397717 0.576047
2025-04-27 0.018173 0.046606 0.093413 0.167476 0.273812 0.413831 0.604967
2025-05-04 0.016759 0.045261 0.093381 0.170735 0.283029 0.432064 0.636747
2025-05-11 0.014782 0.042589 0.091014 0.170354 0.287045 0.443361 0.659567
2025-05-18 0.014556 0.043353 0.094294 0.178554 0.303279 0.471115 0.704054
2025-05-25 0.014048 0.043476 0.096470 0.185065 0.317153 0.495793 0.744671
2025-06-01 0.012092 0.040281 0.092786 0.182316 0.317563 0.502158 0.761104
2025-06-08 0.010135 0.036756 0.088257 0.177998 0.315504 0.505023 0.772819
2025-06-15 0.009738 0.036768 0.089986 0.183642 0.328066 0.527990 0.811402